2010 Mens PAC-10 BB tournament: Predictions

The Mens PAC-10 tournament will begin on wednesday march 10,2010 .
Here are my predictions, and my prediction percentage is bad.
(Plus we have a horrible feeeling of jinxing our picks)

# 8 Oregon vs # 9 Washington State . WE LIKE: WSU
Rumors abound that Oregon coach Ernie Kent has been fired.
He will remain as head coach to finish the season.
While WSU is a dismal 2-7 on the road, they are 3-0 at neutral courts.
Oregon went 4-7 on the road, with no neutral court games.

Thursday March 11

# 4 Arizona vs. # 5 UCLA =WE LIKE: ARIZONA
ucla is banged up. and 3-5 on the road, 0-3 neutral court.
UA is 4-7 on the road, 1-2 on neutral court games.
I am not saying this will be an easy game. This is the
least amount of work to keep the team fresh for a Cal matchup.
That is, if UA can find someone to score consistently.

# 1 California vs. 8-9 winner =WE LIKE: CAL
Cal is 5-6 in road games, 0-2 on neutral court games.
see above for opponents road record..
Arizonas best hope is for WSU's outside shooting to come alive,
and reek havoc on Cals' parade. Just to wear the Golden Bears down a notch.

# 3 Washington vs. # 6 Oregon State =WE LIKE: WASHINGTON
washington is a dismal 2-6 in road games, 0-1 on neutral floor.
oregon state is 4-9 in road games, 1-1 on neutral court games.
@This is the 'one game' that looks like an upset to me. but i am horrible at
predicting upsets.

# 2 ASU vs. # 7 Stanford =WE PICK: ASU
Arizona State is 5-5 on the road, 1-1 on neutral court games.
stanford is 2-10 on the road, 1-1 on neutral court games.
ASU won both regular season games against Stanford..

******PROJECTIONS******
# 4 Arizona vs. # 1 California = CAL . but.....
Both teams have a good bench.Because each team is shooting well from the line,
fouls will be the crucial mistake for the loser.
Another deciding factor may be fatigue from the previous days game.
Throw the RPIs out the window. Cal is a fine NCAA bound team.
But 5 pac10 teams beat them this year. UA and Cal split 1-1 .
If UCLA does get this far, they will not beat Cal this time.

# 3 Washington vs. # 2 ASU =WE PICK: ASU
This is a simple prediction of endurance.
ASU will have an easier game with Stanford than UW will have with OSU.
W has played well at home, but ASU went 500 on the road .


Saturday March 13

Championship game, 4 p.m.

***IF***
# 2 ASU vs. # 1 California =WE PICK: CAL
Cal won both regular season games. Logic may suggest an ASU upset.
I don't think so..ASU doesn't have the bench that Cal has. Or the talent.
If Cal wins by free-throws over UA, ASU will have its hands full with Washington.
Hence, fatigue will wear the sun devils down.
ASU will be a tough draw for any NCAA team seeded higher than them.
So long as it isn't a Big10 or a Big East opponent.

***IF***
# 4 Arizona vs. # 2 ASU =WE PICK: ARIZONA
Arizona has shown that it can win with either their freshmen or upper classmen
on the floor, as of late. It would take a superb effort for UA to beat Cal and ASU
on consecutive days. But, winning the Cal game at the foul line, or purely by
out bombing Cal on 3s, UA will have its' inside game awaiting ASU.
The Cats would have to avoid tacky fouls, and poor shot selection.